The growth stemmed mostly from net migration, as for the first time in thirty years, the number of births was lower than the number of deaths. Net immigration also increased in Tampere compared to previous years.
– If immigration continues like last year, the population of Tampere may grow even faster in the 2020s than estimated, says Johanna Ahlgrén-Holappa, Manager Knowledge Management of the City of Tampere.
In each of Finland's six largest cities (Helsinki, Espoo, Vantaa, Tampere, Turku, Oulu), the population increased more last year than in the year before (2021). Statistics Finland’s confirmed demographic data will be published in March, so the preliminary data is still subject to changes.
The City of Tampere has prepared a planned population projection extending until 2040. It describes the city's expected and desired demographic development. The projection takes into account internal migration within the municipality, migration between municipalities, immigration and emigration, birth and mortality rates and the planned housing construction.
– Our planned population projection differs from the population projection of Statistics Finland as it contains goal-oriented elements that the municipality can influence, says Ahlgrén-Holappa.
According to the planned population projection, the population of Tampere would reach 300,000 by the end of the analysis period (2040). The strongest relative growth will be experienced in the western and southern regions of the city (approximately 30%) and the smallest in the south-east (less than 15%).
By age group, the highest relative population growth is estimated to be in the oldest age group. The number of people aged over 85 is expected to double from the current figure. However, the number of working-age residents is expected to increase the most.
Due to the low birth rate, the number of children and young people in Tampere is expected to grow only slightly. The number of children in primary school age (aged 6–12) will decline in the current decade and, according to the projection, is not expected to return to its current level until the end of the 2030s.
